No chance whatsoever: 12. Sophie: Yikes. Only 1 confessional and it's just about the chicken. Probably the worst edit anyone has gotten since the switch to 90 minute episodes.

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Basically out of the running: 11. Kristina: Barely even ahead of Sophi in the confessional count, but the content she's gotten is significantly better. However I'm getting the vibe that she won't be getting her way often in the game. 10. Jawan: This ep was basically edited like he was about to go home and I'm not really sure what to make of that. He seems kinda blindly loyal to people that don't reciprocate. 9. MC: Got more content but it may be circumstantial and she even got undercut a bit.

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Dark horses: 8. Shannon: Got dunked on even more and didn't even really do anything to overcome it. She just got bailed out by not going to tribal. 7. Sage: Continues to have good reads and successfully threw Shannon under the bus. I just don't expect her to be aligned with the people I expect to go far. 6. Steven: Nothing's really changed with him. He's still the top contender from Hina and that still isn't enough.

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Flawed contender: 5. Alex: Feels weird that despite how much content he's gotten, we don't know much about his game plans at this point. Who does he want to work with? What's his strategy? What's his storyline?

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Real contenders: 4. Rizo: My opinion on him hasn't really changed. Nate has simply surpassed him just like Sophi did last time. 3. Nate: Came off as very smart during the journey. I feel like he's probably the one actually calling the shots on his tribe, but Savannah gets more of the strategic content, so I'm not sure what to make of that. 2. Sophi: This was a quieter episode from her, but a cooldown makes sense, and the content she got reminded us of her underdog story again.

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i wouldn’t count anybody out just based on confessional count. erika was purpled for most of the pre-merge and still didn’t get a decent amount of confessionals until the end.

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Winner pick with a major asterisk: 1. Savannah: The problems with her edit that I expressed last time have only gotten worse. This mean girl content does not feel sustainable for a new era winner edit. Honestly, if it weren't for the Jenna comment on my last post, I might've dropped her. However, this episode was so over the top in that direction for her that I feel like the change of heart that I'm expecting from her is coming very soon, possibly at the merge.

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Agree for the most part, I think Savannah's being shown as way too paranoid/reactionary to win and she just has a villain edit, with her getting taken out around F6/7 by the eventual winner (something like a Shan edit). I'd have Sophi and Rizo ahead of her as of now

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