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Continuing my power rankings after episode 4 in the comments!
Ranking the remaining players by how likely they are to win based on the edit in the comments! (Btw I do know who's on 50. I won't say who they are but it likely impacts my analysis on some level)
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Anonymous 9w

Top contenders: #3. Rizo: His edit might be a bit too focused on his alliance rather than winning for himself. My opinion of him hasn't gone down though, Sophi just went up for me. #2. Sophi: Still getting great content after the swap and integrating with the Uli group. She isn't even necessarily doomed to be on the bottom of that group, since she has a close bond with Savannah. #1. Savannah: Still comes off as a bit overly negative, but the editors are clearly backing her as a great player.

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Anonymous 9w

Out of contention: #13. Sophie: She actually got a bit more content this episode but it wasn't anything of substance really. Definitely not the Genevieve episode 4 comeback she needed. #12. Jason: Definitely got a visibility spike this episode, but the editors highlighted his mistakes in a spot where they probably could've given him more credit for surviving over Matt.

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Anonymous 9w

Barely hanging on: #11. MC: Will likely be a big threat at the merge since she's great at challenges and has an idol, which I suspect is her only real relevance to the plot of the season. #10. Jawan: I think he made the right move by sticking with Uli this episode but I don't know if the editors want us to think that. He'll probably be stuck at the bottom of the majority and never get out. #9. Kristina: Her personal content this episode was strong but 0 confessionals in ep 2 and 3 is rough.

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Anonymous 9w

Dark horses: #8. Sage: I actually think she's the most likely next boot, but if she survives this, then I think her reads on Shannon and Savannah are a great look for her. #7. Shannon: Also in danger of being the next boot, but if she isn't, the adversity she faced is sorta similar to other new era winners. I doubt that's actually what's happening though. #6. Steven: Easily has the best edit from his original tribe, but it's not enough. They're all doomed.

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Anonymous 9w

Real contenders with some flaws: #5. Alex: His shear volume of content is the main thing keeping him this high, because I'm not actually seeing much of a winning storyline. Sophi feels like the face of the Kele underdog arc, not him. #4. Nate: Strong edit and game position, but I'm still a bit confused about the focus he got around not relating to the younger players. It is a storyline but it doesn't really feel like a winning one.

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Anonymous replying to -> OP 9w

That being said, I will become skeptical of Savannah winning if her edit doesn't see a major tone shift by the mid-merge or so. I really don't think a new era winner would be portrayed as a mean girl for the entire season.

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Anonymous replying to -> OP 9w

Perhaps they’re trying to make her look more unfavorable because so many suspect her to be the winner at this point. Much like in Survivor Amazon when Jenna’s win was leaked so the editors made her appear unfavorable.

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Anonymous replying to -> #1 9w

That's a good point, her edit is basically Jenna's but if her meanness was shown to be more justified and she was constantly being propped up as a good player. That does sound like the version of that editing style that we would get in the new era. Still, new era winners have been portrayed very positively near the end of the season. Even if the editors are trying to throw us off right now, I expect some sort of change of heart from Savannah.

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