Japan was optimized for island invasion and would’ve had severe difficulty at the US mainland. Italy was incompetent and shouldn’t really be a part of the conversation. The USA didn’t provide any meaningful effort until after Germany was already losing. So we’d still be speaking english

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Japan was the only one of these counties to actually attack American territory

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None. It was unlikely the axis would have won, but even if they had, America would have been reduced in influence but not directly occupied.

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