US Politics on Sidechat | Highkey I think in the coming years battleground states will change a lot. I’m putting my money on Arkansas being a battleground state in a few election cycles. Tons of people move there rn for Walmart Jobs from Blue States and the NW area is shifting.

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US Politics 19w

Highkey I think in the coming years battleground states will change a lot. I’m putting my money on Arkansas being a battleground state in a few election cycles. Tons of people move there rn for Walmart Jobs from Blue States and the NW area is shifting.

US Politics 19w

Lowk it’s kinda insane that if you live in PA, Ohio, or Michigan that you ultimately have more electorate power than like 99.999% of the global population (Since elections are primarily decided by those 3 states, and US politics affects global politics)

Anonymous 19w

Conversely I don’t think Georgia will remain a battleground state for long, although I don’t think it’ll always be a red state either if that makes sense? I think it’ll be a sort of ‘surprise blue state’ every few years depending on voter turnout in places like Atlanta

Anonymous 19w

Texas will become one pretty soon, probably within the next 3 election cycles barring any major demographic changes. PA still will be as its urban and suburban population growth is pretty equal. Not too sure about the others

Anonymous 19w

As much as I’m in denial about it I wonder if NJ is getting closer to being in play tbh

Anonymous 19w

I also think everything we know now will go out the window in 2028. Trump won’t be on the ballot for the first time in 12 years and Republicans might have someone actually sane. That could hurt Dems if they lose the anti-Trump republicans. At the same time, this term may have damaged republicans so badly that Dems benefit in 2028. I think it may become a bit clearer in the midterms

Anonymous 19w

You are giving Arkansas way too much credit. I’ve worked for the state Democratic Party throughout my undergrad and now my masters. LR, Conway, NLR, Pine Bluff, and West Memphis make it seem more purple than it is. NWA is trending extremely rightward, and most of the white collar Walmart hires are in NYC.

Anonymous

#1 19w

It probably is, unfortunately for my personal political preference. I’ve been seeing a lot of videos about it. In this years gubernatorial election they’ll still probably be blue, but they might turn red in a few election cycles. Probably 4+ for president to switch red tho

Anonymous

#1 19w

Jersey and NY traditionally vote very similarly. They have similar demographics and similar voter turnouts. They vote on and value similar things. I wouldn’t think it would be out of the question but I don’t think it would be any time soon either.

Anonymous

OP 19w

Yeah, but I’ve heard south Jersey is getting redder. Which is a bit weird though because it’s basically like a Philly suburb

Anonymous

#1 19w

Camden/Trenton will still be blue, but their suburban areas to the east are growing more rapidly

Anonymous

#1 19w

And the whole coastal area is probably red just bc of the insane property prices making it so only upper middle class or above can live there

Anonymous

#2 19w

Ahhh I see, that makes sense

Anonymous

#3 19w

And rural Arkansas is growing at an even higher rate than the urban areas, mostly due to brain drain. Arkansans leave the state when they get graduate degrees at a higher rate than any other continental state. So they are losing liberal-leaning votes at a high rate and gaining firmly red votes at a high rate. And the Nepogovernor is extremely anti-education, with a truckload of recent legislation aimed at reducing “liberal college indoctrination.”

Anonymous 19w

Can confirm. I live here and everybody has known it’s been a battleground state for years. I’m not saying blue states don’t gerrymander, too, but dear god this is some next level, very blatant corruption. Like unironically. Go to Dallas and find five people that actually like Gov. Abbott. I don’t think people realize how much he’s hated in his own state.