
I mean this is a pretty standard left-wing take. MLK basically says the same thing in The Letter From A Birmingham Jail, and Malcolm X says as much with his parable about the fox and the wolf. The centrist who is more worried about order than justice is as much of an obstacle as the outright anti-justice individual, perhaps more so because they fool you into thinking they’re on your side.
Left wingers believe that though and none of you will ever say which one you are. You’ll deal in moral absolutes but you won’t simply say which one you are. Are you a big enough group that has to be catered to for elections? Or is it a waste of time and Dems shouldn’t care about leftists?
I don’t think progressives are a big enough group to FULLY spoil an election, but they are a big enough group to help win one. Kamala Harris didn’t lose solely because of progressives, but progressives sitting out/protest voting was one factor among many. I think the bigger factor was her refusal to distance herself from her unpopular predecessor in any way, which pissed off both progressives and the more politically detached folks who only vote every 4 years.
No I think self-identified progressives have a certain amount of political leverage, enough to have an impact but not enough to be solely responsible for either outcome. The true most important factor is the broadly politically disengaged voter. A group who are also receptive to progressive politics. There’s a reason 2008 was the biggest Democratic Party W of the 21st Century, Obama ran progressive, which appealed to more than just self-identified progressives.
I think you’re flattening two different eras into “Clinton = center” and “Obama = progressive.” Obama’s appeal was a lot broader than just left ideology. The unity message especially, anti-Iraq stance, personal charisma, and the financial crisis all mattered. Using 2008 as proof that simply moving left recreates that coalition feels way too neat. Obama wasn’t calling the Democratic Party the wolf in sheep’s clothing.