
Like it or not it’s probably true. You’re not going to have the “far left” (not institutional dem) burnout we saw in 2024, they’re already provoked enough to vote. Republicans and independents are increasingly turning away from Trump. The best way to encapsulate a majority of that is to appear more moderate. It’s better to have a 15 seat moderate dem advantage than a 1-2 seat slightly more left dem advantage
Do you know what happened the last time this country was this polarized, where the national goals between each party in power flipped every election, getting increasingly hostile towards each other and using sleezy means to gain a majority representation? We got into a civil war. It wasn’t until 1863 that it became about slavery. And that was more of a propaganda tool to keep Britain out of the war.
I get it bro I’m livid with the Dems too. I’d vote for Mamdani in my purple swing state district if he was on the ballot. But my conservative parents wouldn’t. They’d vote Trump again before voting Mamdani. They would vote for someone like Josh Shapiro. Not that’s he’s who I agree most with. But he’s someone more people can agree with yk?
They appeal to independents and conservatives more than they do the left leaning population yeah. The country is not a majority democrat. If you want a majority, you need to swing a majority of independents or a proportion of both independents and republicans. That’s just simple numbers.
Kamala shifted to the right and lost because huge numbers of Biden voters did not turn up to vote. Centrist Janet Mills dropped out of Maine’s senate primary because she couldn’t get any enthusiasm and was polling poorly against Susan Collins. Moderate Andrew Cuomo lost twice to Mamdani. Your simple numbers are not as simple as you think.
No I understand that’s why Kamala lost. If we were coming off a moderate dem cycle I’d agree. But we’re coming off a Republican cycle where republicans are gaining an unprecedented number of mid decade seats. Securing seats is the most important thing. 2 moderate Dems in office passes more legislation than 1 leftist and 1 Republican
I mean yeah I am. I’m not convinced that non establishment left of center dems have a meaningful chance in contested elections. I think we need to see them prove success in safe dem districts first. Prove they can get the attention and support they need from their own party before trying to capture the opposition. A dem +25 district? Hell yeah let’s make it happen. A dem +5 or lower? Probably should err on the side of caution