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Will the fed cut rates even though there is a gov shutdown?
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Anonymous 2w

96% chance days says yes mostly because of the 10 year yield

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Anonymous 2w

CME group says 96% chance they cut .25 in October and 91% chance they cut another .25 in December.

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Anonymous replying to -> #1 2w

You think there are any other factors besides the 10 year. I’ve seen some stuff about how there’s issues in regional banking.

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Anonymous replying to -> OP 2w

yes regional banking and private credit. from what i’ve heard both seem to be just a blip right now. others like to say if you find one roach there’s bound to be more. either way not something FED would act on

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Anonymous replying to -> #1 2w

I believe the going quote is, only when the tide goes out do you see who’s swimming naked? With the repo rate what it is, and the other issues popping up I think we’re in for a show, because if I know anything, there’s a whole lot of people who are far over exposed right now.

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Anonymous replying to -> #2 2w

Sure sure of course and also, i’m a stock guy, and margin is highest and also put/call ratio is lowest we have seen in memory. Guess we sit and wait for Nov 1st. Also, when are these leveraged ETFs and weekly dividend ETFs going to crash? or slow bleed? why does no one talk about them. they are bound to fail and leave lots of retail “naked”

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