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hantavirus
#poll
next pandemic
nothing ever happens
658 votes
upvote 21 downvote

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Anonymous 7w

I trust WHO

upvote 9 downvote
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Anonymous 7w

Hantavirus is scary for those who get it, but realistically it’s not contagious enough to be the next pandemic.

upvote 5 downvote
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Anonymous 6w

It’s too deadly to spread effectively imo, same reason Ebola isnt a global pandemic

upvote 1 downvote
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Anonymous replying to -> houndfish 7w

I’m surrounded by epidemiologists and have taken several epidemiology classes, although I’m def not one myself. The reason hantavirus won’t be the next pandemic is because it’s just not contagious enough, even in this more contagious form. It was contagious enough for a cruise ship outbreak, but that’s an incredibly low bar. It’s not enough to become a pandemic.

upvote 18 downvote
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Anonymous replying to -> #2 7w

The R0 of COVID is 2.5-5.7, of the Spanish Flu 2-3, of seasonal flu ~1.3. The r0 of typical hantavirus is literally estimated to be 0. The Andean strain could possibly have an r0 as high as 1, but that’s still not enough for a pandemic’s worth of spread. (r0 = avg # of people an infected person will infect)

upvote 8 downvote