
Conference record is 2-3, division is 1-1. Barely above .500 and losing in every tiebreaker category is not how to make the playoffs, not to mention they play #2 Broncos (division game no less) and #1 Indy in the next two weeks, and still have 3 division games after that. Nothing is a guarantee right now
Anyways. Yes, I’m basing it on this season in this moment right now because until somebody locks, nothing is a guarantee. The odds are stacked against the Chiefs right now, but there’s also a path that the Colts miss the playoffs entirely. Is it likely? No. Could it happen? Yeah. Saying the Chiefs are guaranteed is being intentionally dense