
Before the vaccine was introduced, the voting preference of counties did not affect covid deaths much. If anything, Dems died more cus they’re in cities and covid spread faster in cities at first. After the vaccine was introduced, people who voted for Trump more overwhelmingly refused the vaccine due to his open skepticism of it, which caused higher death rates.
Yea I'm just saying the graph itself seems to be misinterpreting other factors. If trump supports are in more rural areas then Rural COVID mortality was higher globally, regardless of politics (US, Europe, Brazil, India). As well as other preexisting conditions such as heart disease, smoking, obesity, that are being marked as COVID deaths when these independently predict COVID death risk. Early post-vaccine death waves were driven by Delta and Omicron, which had partial immune escape.
I don’t think it’s misinterpreting. It’s a 2-d graph. They can’t make a 5 variable graph I don’t think. I agree there are def other factors at play but I think that vaccine skepticism, in part caused by the maga movement and Trump, is a big factor in why Republican counties have higher COVID death rates compared to blue counties
Exactly my point it's a 2-d graph without taking into consideration multiple other key factors. It's called an Ecological Fallacy assuming individual-level causation from group-level data. Could there be correlation? Sure but it's likely highly exaggerated so I don't think it would be fair to make that statement.