
War on Poverty, starting during the Lyndon Johnson era. The intention was to provide support to single mothers. The result was families splitting up or choosing not to get married in order to collect better benefits, because you got more money as a single mother with an absent babydaddy than if he married you and provided for you.
And you think a middle aged woman being so upset by her 1st world minor inconveniences she feels obligated to discuss it with the manager is funny? Everything is funny to somebody and there’s somebody out there who’s upset by it. Humor is the proliferation of pointing out (and often exaggerating) the truth in a comical way to draw attention to the point.
More blame lies w Nixon’s war on “drugs” while feds deliberately pushed drugs into black neighborhoods & arrested men over possession, pushing it into overdrive by Reagan through tough on crime policies working in tandem w private prisons to basically just find any reason to arrest ppl so they could get more slaves into the system. Fathers being in prison doesn’t exactly make raising future fathers easy. Wealth also plays a role, black:white single mother% is very similar when accounting for it
War on drugs didn’t help, but statistically is a lot less to blame. Before the war on poverty, only about 25% of black children grew up in single-parent households, afterwards it rose up to 75% of kids. Whereas only about 2% of black men are incarcerated (even if you narrow it to high risk groups like men in their 30s, that number only gets up to about 5% in prison). Which is still really high compared to other groups, but comes nowhere near accounting for 3/4 kids not having a present father.
That doesn't account for the point I mentioned about wealth, which is intricately connected to crime & unstable family units globally for our crony capitalist system. Blaming the post 60's jump in single moms mainly on welfare ignores the massive economic shift of deindustrialization that's affected a lot of this country (including the white working class, opioid crisis, etc) & to a lesser extent the role of the sexual revolution around the same time with the linked decrease in shotgun marriages
Working class unionized manufacturing jobs started vanishing from inner cities (more black populated) the same time as the war on poverty. This effect then spread out from inner cities across the country with the peak of deindustrialization, the peak of the war and drugs, and the height of tough on crime policy wither private prisons in the 90s. The ability for working class men to be stable breadwinners collapses with that, destroying marriage rates
So treating that 75% number like 1 input/output makes no sense. The 2-5% of black men being incarcerated is only about men in prison *right now* which misses out on a lot of how mass incarceration actually breaks a community down. A father doesn't need to be behind bars for all 18 years of a kid's life to disrupt the household, even a short sentence can break a family permanently. The study I'm linking shows that lifetime imprisonment risk for black men was 33% during the peak years of the WOD
Well I didn’t dispute the point about wealth because it’s not incorrect. And I agree, the outsourcing of industry devastated a lot of fathers’ ability to be sole providers for their households. The main difference that WoP welfare plays is that without it, you would just have two married working people providing for a household instead of a sole breadwinner, but with it dad moves out and stays unmarried so mom can collect an extra check.
Over the last 20yrs, as aggressive mandatory minimums were rolled back, the national incarceration rate for Black men dropped by 44%, w lifetime risk dropping to 1 in 5. Guess what followed? The % of Black children living w single moms dropped from 75 down to 64%. But on the point of wealth if you look at low-income brackets across the board, single-headed households are common regardless of race
Okay, but even if peak at peak WoD, 33% of black men spent some time in prison at some point in their life, that still means 2/3 of black men never went to prison in their life, but 3/4 of black kids being raised without a father. So men being in prison is neither the majority nor even the plurality reason that they’re not marrying or taking part in raising their kids.
If we control for socioeconomic status, liquid assets, and generational wealth, the statistical disparities in family structures between demographics are really similar. Overall the economy with deindustrialization, the feds being pretty blatantly racist, and the culture changing via the sexual revolution were more impactful than the welfare imo, which I’m not disputing as being a factor, just listing it as more of a secondary one than a primary one
That assumes we’re looking at the WoD as the only factor, which we’re not, we’re looking at different factors working in a combinatorial way to result in the crisis. Culture isn’t a vacuum, things build up like a snowball rolling down a hill and people copy things in their environments. Poor white people have dealt with deindustrialization and the culture change too, and it shows in the data with single parent rates in that strata too. Black people being more poor (coming out of Jim Crow) and
Having the gov succeed sicced on them to destroy the family unit will obviously result in worse circumstances. If a guy sprains an ankle and another guy breaks his leg, which one will take longer to heal and fully recover from? It’s a snowball storm event of many things that have to be untangled and will take time to improve as long as we as a society try to improve them
For the 3/4 down to 2/3 of kids not having a father, that assumes there’s a 1:1 ratio of father to kid, when 1 father could easily be leaving 3 or 4 kids behind instead of just 1, explaining that metric. Also, mass incarceration wasn't spread out evenly, it often targeted specific urban blocks. If you pull a third of the young men out of a single neighborhood, you destroy the marriage market + economic baseline for that entire community, that hits households where the dad didn’t even go to jail
Also do you agree with me then that welfare was not a driving factor of the situation then compared to the ones I listed? Bc my impression is that you were saying welfare was the main factor, which I disagree with, so that's why l've been saying all this. I am not here to defend LBJ’s record Imao
No, I disagree, because poverty itself does not inherently cause absent fatherhood. Families can be poor, and still have a father present. And we know this, because statistically, that used to be the case. Statistically, under peak Jim Crow era oppression in the first half of the 20th century, black people still had lower rates of broken homes than they do today.
What specifically flipped, which turned poverty into a driving factor of broken homes, which statistically lead to a skyrocket in absent fathers (ACROSS ALL RACES, but disproportionately affecting those with higher poverty rates) was the government modifying the welfare system to give additional money to single-parent households.
The very instant that the government created a financial incentive for parents to not marry or live together, the rate of broken homes began to sharply climb among populations with higher poverty rates. Which again, includes all races, but disproportionately affected the black population.